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The World is Too Dangerous For You and Your Family
“In the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program, violent crime is composed of four offenses: murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Violent crimes are defined in the UCR Program as those offenses which involve force or threat of force.”
The FBI's Uniform Crime Reports show that in 2012, 90.5% of murder victims were age 18 or older. Of all murder victims, 45.1% were 20 to 34 years old. These are young people just starting their adult lives. Gone too soon.
Forcible Rape Overview
- In 2012, an estimated 14,827 persons were murdered in the United States. This was a 1.1 percent increase from the 2011 estimate, but a 9.9 percent decrease from the 2008 figure, and a 10.3 percent drop from the number in 2003.
- In 2012, of the murder rates reported by sex, 77.7% of the victims were male. By race, the victims were 45.9% White, 50.6 Black, and 3.5 Other/Unknown. Most shocking was that 43.4% of murder victims were Black males.
- Of the estimated murders in the United States, 43.6 percent were reported in the South, 21.1 percent were reported in the Midwest, 21.0 percent were reported in the West, and 14.2 percent were reported in the Northeast.
- There were 4.7 murders per 100,000 people. The murder rate rose 0.4 percent in 2012 compared with the 2011 rate. The murder rate was down from the rates in 2008 (12.8 percent decline) and 2003 (16.9 percent drop).
Aggravated Assault Overview
- There were an estimated 84,376 forcible rapes reported to law enforcement in 2012. This estimate was 0.2 percent higher than the 2011 estimate, but 7.0 percent and 10.1 percent lower than the 2008 and 2003 estimates, respectively.
- The rate of forcible rapes in 2012 was estimated at 52.9 per 100,000 female inhabitants.
- There were an estimated 760,739 aggravated assaults in the nation in 2012. The estimated number of aggravated assaults in 2012 increased 1.1 percent when compared with the 2011 estimate.
- In 2012, the estimated rate of aggravated assaults was 242.3 per 100,000 inhabitants. A 10-year comparison of data from 2003 and 2012 showed that the rate of aggravated assaults in 2012 dropped 18.0 percent.
- Of the aggravated assault offenses in 2012 for which law enforcement provided expanded data, 26.8 percent were committed with personal weapons, such as hands, fists, or feet. Firearms were used in 21.8 percent of aggravated assaults, and knives or cutting instruments were used in 18.8 percent. Other weapons were used in 32.6 percent of aggravated assaults.
- The FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program defines robbery as the taking or attempting to take anything of value from the care, custody, or control of a person or persons by force or threat of force or violence and/or by putting the victim in fear.
- There were an estimated 354,520 robberies nationwide in 2012. The 2012 estimated number of robberies decreased 0.1 percent from the 2011 estimate and 20.1 percent from the 2008 estimate.
- The estimated robbery rate of 112.9 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2012 showed a decrease of 0.8 percent when compared to the 2011 rate.
- In 2012, robberies accounted for an estimated $414 million in losses
- The average dollar value of property stolen per reported robbery was $1,167. Banks experienced the highest average dollar loss at $3,810 per offense.
- Among the robberies for which the UCR Program received weapon information in 2012, strong-arm tactics were used in 42.5 percent, firearms in 41.0 percent, and knives or cutting instruments in 7.8 percent. Other dangerous weapons were used in 8.8 percent of robberies in 2012.
- Robbery location distribution in 2012:
- Street/highway 43.5%
- Residence 16.9%
- Commercial house 13.3%
- Convenience store 5.1%
- Gas or service station 2.4%
- Bank 1.9%
- Miscellaneous 16.9%
Males experienced higher victimization rates than females for all types of violent crime except rape/sexual assault. Yes, even that big muscular man jogging by you is at risk.
The elderly, persons age 65 or older, experienced less violence and fewer property crimes than younger persons between 1993-2002. Property crime, not violence, provided the highest percentage of crime against persons age 65 or older. About 1 in 5 of personal crimes against the elderly was thefts compared to about 1 in 33 for persons age 12-49. The main reason given for the elderly grandparents not being victims of violent crime: they stay inside their homes behind locked doors. Locked away in fear is not the way for anyone to live.
It might surprise you who are more likely to be carjacked. Men were more likely than women to be the victim of a carjacking (2 men and 1 woman per 10,000 persons). Blacks were more likely than whites to be victimized by a carjacking (3 versus 1 per 10,000 respectively) 1993-2002.
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Myths About Crime*
Facts and figures about the state of violent crime and punishment in the United States explode many of the prevalent myths.
Myth: Violent crime is going down. Despite recent dips in the overall crime rate, violent crime rates remain at historic highs, and more than 10 million violent crimes were committed in 1993.
Myth: The threat of violent crime is exaggerated. An American is more than twice as likely to be a violent crime victim as to be injured in a car accident, and as likely to be murdered as to die from AIDS.
Myth: Most violent crimes against whites are committed by blacks. In 1993, only 18 percent of the 8.7 million violent crimes against whites were committed by blacks, while about 80 percent of the 1.3 million violent crimes against blacks were by blacks.
Myth: Revolving door justice is rare. Barely one criminal is imprisoned for every 100 violent crimes, and about one in three violent crimes is committed by someone on probation, parole or pretrial release.
Myth: Prisons are full of first-time drug offenders. Since 1974 more than 90 percent of all state prisoners have been violent or repeat offenders. Between 1980 and 1993, the number in state prisons for violent crimes grew by 221,000, 1.3 times the growth in imprisoned drug offenders (most of whom have long criminal histories).
Myth: Persons on probation and parole pose little threat. In 1991, 45 percent of state prisoners were on probation or parole at the very time they committed their latest crimes, and while free, they committed at least 218,000 violent crimes, including 13,200 murders and 11,600 rapes
Myth: Because of mandatory sentencing, most prisoners now do long, hard time. Despite mandatory laws, between 1985 and 1992, the average maximum sentence declined about 15 percent, from 78 months to 67 months, and in 1992, the actual time served by violent felons was 43 months.
Myth: More violent juvenile felons are being handled like adults. In 1991, about 51,000 male juveniles were held in public juvenile facilities, a third of them for violent crimes. However, in 1992 alone there were over 110,000 juvenile arrests for violent crimes.
*Source: John J. DiIulio Jr. (Manhattan Institute), "Ten Truths About Crime," Weekly Standard, January 15, 1996.